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Parameter estimation in a hidden birth and death process with immigration

Solym MANOU-ABI
CUFR-Mayotte & IMAG-Montpellier
Séminaire Probabilités et Statistique
mer 07/09/2022 - 16:00 mer 07/09/2022 - 17:00

In this talk, we consider a linear birth and death process with immigration to model infectious disease propagation when contamination stems from both person-to-person contact and the environment. Our aim is to estimate the parameters
of the process. The main originality and difficulty comes from the observation framework. Indeed, counts of infected population are hidden. The performance of our estimators is illustrated both on synthetic data and real data of typhoid fever in Mayotte.

 

Activités à venir

Conférences
AFRIMath 2026 -- First conference of the MaGA project (Mathematics in Gabon for Africa)

L'évènement se deroulera le 13/04/2026
Cap Skirring, Sénégal
de 09:00 à 17:00

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  • Nantes Université
  • CNRS
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